Signal No. 156 · Bremerhaven: EUR 1.35 billion in a letter of intent
Pistorius signed a letter of intent for up to EUR 1.35 billion of defence money to 2031 for a hub at Bremerhaven, the civilian port through which NATO forces move east. The US Air Force gave Raytheon a USD 20.7 billion AMRAAM ceiling to 2033, eleven European states among its customers.
DEZMDF Bremerhaven deployment hub: a letter of intent for up to EUR 1.35 billion of defence money to 2031
BMVg 29 Sep · dpa via Volksstimme 29 Sep · Signal No. 94
Boris Pistorius, the defence minister, Andreas Bovenschulte, Bremen's mayor, and Matthias Magnor, chief executive of the port operator BLG, signed a letter of intent at Bremen city hall on Tuesday for the "Deployment Hub Bremerhaven 2031". The defence ministry says it will invest up to EUR 1.35 billion in the port, its hinterland connections, rail links and Bremen airport. Bovenschulte said the money comes from the defence ministry's budget; according to dpa, Bremen adds EUR 200 million, with private investors on top. More than 40 measures are planned to 2031, among them a heavy-load bridge and quays in the Kaiserhafen, with work due to start this year, Bovenschulte said. The port stays civilian; in a defence emergency, Bundeswehr and allied personnel and materiel move through it.
In the letter all parties "affirm that they will provide the capacities and capabilities required to meet NATO's requirements and the needs set out in Operationsplan Deutschland", the national plan for Germany's defence and for allied forces crossing it. The ministry release names no follow-on contract or administrative agreement, and no date for one.
Signal › The cabinet package of 1 July dealt with the legal side of Germany's transit role: a fast-track military-building bill and a framework for requisitioning rail, ports and airports before a formal defence case. Bremerhaven prices part of the physical side, at one port. For scale, the commander of NATO's logistics command in Ulm has put the eastward extension of the alliance fuel network at EUR 21 billion over a generation. The letter names no budget title and no contract; the first award at the Kaiserhafen or on the heavy-load bridge is the next document.
AIRATL AMRAAM: a USD 20.7 billion ceiling for Raytheon to 2033, with eleven European states among 16 FMS customers
US Department of War 28 Sep · Signal No. 153 · Signal No. 150
The US Air Force awarded Raytheon in Tucson a sole-source, multi-year contract for production of the Advanced Medium-Range Air-to-Air Missile (AMRAAM), not to exceed USD 20,699,334,581 and running to June 2033. It was awarded on Friday 25 September and announced on Monday in the Pentagon's contract list. Sixteen foreign customers are named for foreign military sales (FMS); eleven are European: Belgium, the Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Sweden and the United Kingdom. The others are Australia, Canada, Japan, Kuwait and Taiwan. At award USD 154.3 million of FMS money and USD 85,715 of Air Force funds were obligated. The contracting office is the Air Force Life Cycle Management Center at Robins Air Force Base, Georgia. Last Wednesday, 23 September, the Bundestag's budget committee cleared two further German lots of AIM-120 AMRAAM for the F-35A and the Eurofighter. The same announcement added USD 11.2 million to a Lockheed Martin contract for spare radar parts for Lithuania.
Signal › The USD 20.7 billion is a ceiling on a price not yet agreed: the award is undefinitized. The money obligated at award is almost all foreign, and each European lot is a separate national FMS case. The definitized price and the European lots obligated against it, with their delivery years, are the next documents.
GRZIAMD Romania: a drone detonates on farmland near Gropeni, Brăila county; the defence ministry says its radars reported no intrusion
MApN 29 Sep · MApN (update) 29 Sep · Signal No. 153 · Signal No. 154
Romania's defence ministry said on Tuesday morning that an object, possibly a drone, had fallen overnight on arable land on Insula Mare a Brăilei, near Gropeni in Brăila county, and started a fire; a caller had reported it to the 112 emergency line. In an update it said the drone carried an explosive payload that detonated automatically on impact; the fire was confined to farmland and no one was hurt. Interior ministry and Romanian Intelligence Service (SRI) teams secured the site, an IAR-330 SOCAT helicopter flew reconnaissance, and the SRI took the fragments for analysis. The ministry: "the Ministry of National Defence's radar systems did not report any unauthorised penetration of national airspace during the past night." No drone type was given.
Signal › Romania's three alerts in a week differ on detection. The drone that fell at Solca was tracked crossing for four minutes; the alert east of Galați ended without a violation; at Gropeni an armed payload reached the ground with no intrusion reported. The ministry has not explained the gap, and the SRI's analysis of the fragments is the next document.
INTDIN EU governments adopt the first five European Defence Projects of Common Interest; EUR 325 million from EDIP
Council of the EU 28 Sep · European Commission 28 Sep · Signal No. 28 · Großwald 13 Jul
The Council on Monday identified the first five European Defence Projects of Common Interest, the five the Commission proposed on 3 July: drones and counter-drone systems, integrated maritime and seabed defence, space-based capabilities, federated integrated air and missile defence, and security of the Eastern Flank. The Commission has set aside EUR 325 million of the EUR 1.5 billion European Defence Industry Programme (EDIP) for them; with the decision taken, the projects "can now move towards funding", and support may continue under the next long-term budget. On average 18 member states take part in each; Ukraine is in four of the five, and the programme is also open to Norway.
Signal › In March Großwald set the test for these projects: genuine cross-border integration, or rebadged national projects. The first answer is breadth. The projects average eighteen states each and share EUR 325 million, and the Commission release names no lead nation, consortium or split for any of them. The anti-ballistic missile coalition founded in Paris on 13 July took the narrow route: ten states, Ukraine among the founders, common operational requirements. The first project-level call will show which model the EU instrument follows.
GRZUXS Estonia says Russian intelligence commissioned the August arson at Milrem Robotics; Russia's chargé d'affaires summoned
ERR 29 Sep · Estonian World 29 Sep · Estonian Government 29 Sep · AFP via France 24 29 Sep · ERR (summons) 29 Sep · Signal No. 151 · Signal No. 129 · Großwald 26 Aug
Kristen Michal, Estonia's prime minister, said on Tuesday: "Today we can say with complete certainty that the arson attack on Milrem was an act of sabotage commissioned by the intelligence services of the Russian Federation." The Internal Security Service (KAPO) reached that conclusion on its own intelligence about the fire of 15 August at the Milrem Robotics building in Tallinn; Milrem builds uncrewed ground vehicles, which Ukraine fields. Margo Palloson, KAPO's director-general, called it the first Russian-sponsored attack in Estonia this year that the authorities failed to prevent. Those recruited, she said, are Russian-speaking residents, criminal networks and foreign nationals, paid and often unaware whom they work for. The foreign ministry summoned Russia's chargé d'affaires on Tuesday. Margus Tsahkna, the foreign minister: "Together with our allies and partners in Europe and beyond, we will increase pressure on Russia, tighten sanctions, and seek additional ways to restrict the travel of Russian citizens to Europe." Dmitry Peskov, the Kremlin spokesman, called the accusation baseless: "We cannot and will not take such statements seriously."
The three suspects, Latvian citizens arrested in Latvia on 17 and 18 August and handed to Estonia on 17 and 18 September, remain in custody. When they were remanded a week ago the charge was damaging property, with sabotage still under examination.
Signal › Three attacks on makers of drones and uncrewed vehicles on the eastern flank now sit at three levels of attribution. A Riga court has convicted two people of a Russian-tasked arson at PILOT Automotive Labs in 2023, one of them paid EUR 1,000. Slovak police stopped an arson plot in August that Skyeton says targeted its Raybird plant at Haniska, and named no commissioner. Tallinn has named Russia's services by government statement, ahead of any court. It has not said which service, and the charge on record is still damaging property; the indictment is the next document.
Procurement · Industry · Capability
PLBDIN Poland signs PLN 350 million of contracts with 86 firms to hold production and repair capacity for war
Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz, the defence minister, handed contracts worth PLN 350 million to 86 state and private companies, research institutes and universities in Warsaw on Tuesday, a record number of recipients by his account. The money buys no equipment: under the 2022 Homeland Defence Act it pays firms to maintain production and repair capacity the armed forces would need in time of threat or war. Twenty-six of the recipients belong to PGZ, among them Mesko, Huta Stalowa Wola and Nitro-Chem. Magdalena Sobkowiak-Czarnecka, a deputy minister, said the funds commit the firms, if the need arises, to scale up at once, nearly tripling employment.
Forward Look
Thursday 1 – Friday 2 October, Reykjavík: JEF defence ministers meet. Thursday 1 October, Bergen: Pistorius and General Christian Freuding, Chief of the Army, attend the Experimentalserie Land.
Saturday 3 October: Latvia's parliamentary election.
Monday 5 October: the end of the ten days Zelenskyy set for the US-proposed three-way technical talks in the Emirates.
Further out: Monday 12 October: the Council is due to adopt 1,600 military-industrial listings. Late October: the two US battalions reach Lithuania. Friday 6 November: Hegseth receives the posture review's final recommendation.
Watch: the SRI's reading of the Gropeni fragments; European AMRAAM lots obligated against the new contract; a Bremerhaven line in the 2027 defence budget and the first award under the letter; the Milrem indictment and its charge; the split of the EUR 325 million and the first project call.