Signal No. 140 · Kallas's group, withdrawn

Signal No. 140 · Kallas's group, withdrawn

Kaja Kallas withdrew the High-Level Group on Defence before its Brussels launch, after France and Germany were reported to have withheld support and Italy did not back it.

Großwald profile image
by Großwald
SIGNAL No. 140
Kallas's group, withdrawn
Kaja Kallas withdrew the High-Level Group on Defence before its Brussels launch, after France and Germany were reported to have withheld support and Italy did not back it. In the Ukraine track, Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner left Moscow and Kyiv with a trilateral meeting still without venue or date and a capitals-only pause whose end time the two sides' public wording does not agree. Moscow ordered Germany's St Petersburg consulate-general closed by 18 September, the date Berlin set for Bonn; near Weisweiler, police found new launch devices on the seventh day of the grid-sabotage investigation.

INTDPL Kallas withdraws the High-Level Group the day before its launch; France and Germany reportedly withheld support; Italy did not back it; Rasmussen was to chair

Euronews 7 Sep · Eunews 7 Sep · Politico via Interfax-Ukraine 7 Sep · Politico via UNN 7 Sep · EEAS 1 Sep · Euronews 1 Sep · Signal No. 136 · Signal No. 139

On Sunday afternoon the roughly 150 people invited to Monday morning's launch of the High-Level Group on Defence, a fireside conversation with Kaja Kallas at the Bibliothèque Solvay for the institutions, NATO, academia and the think tanks, were told the event would not take place; on Monday her spokesman confirmed that, after discussions with ministers, the initiative would not proceed. Kallas had announced the group at the defence ministers' informal in Wicklow on 1 September as "senior political and military leaders from several EU countries, but also from UK and Ukraine", sitting "under my auspices", meant to look "beyond institutions" and to deliver "a report setting out concrete recommendations for Europe's defence", with the names to be revealed at the launch. Christian Wigand said: "Some Member States felt that this was not the right path to take at this time", and that after discussions with ministers "we have decided not to take the initiative any further"; the High Representative "is exploring new ways to engage with Member States". Commission spokeswoman Paula Pinho said the countries concerned "did not support" it and are "in a better position to explain why".

Politico, citing three diplomats, reported that Anders Fogh Rasmussen, NATO's secretary general from 2009 to 2014, was to chair the group, with Jüri Luik, Estonia's former defence minister and ambassador to NATO, and Florence Parly, France's armed forces minister from 2017 to 2022, among the members. Eunews reports that France and Germany withheld their support and that Italy did not back the initiative. The objections relayed through Politico were three: overlap with the work of Andrius Kubilius, the defence commissioner; insufficient preparation and coordination with capitals; and, from one EU official, a dispute inside Italian domestic politics over which names would be put forward. None of the three governments has given a reason on the record. The group would have carried no budget, no legislative role and no authority over forces or procurement; its output was to be one report.

The Wicklow informal that produced the announcement also produced, the same day, no release of expiring Patriot interceptors from Greece and Spain, on one Dutch minister's account, and Kallas's "no concrete success today"; that was carried in No. 136. Sunday's withdrawal came six days later, after what Wigand called discussions with ministers.

Signal › The group was designed, in Kallas's words, to look beyond the institutions; the objection relayed through Politico is that it overlapped with one of them, the commissioner whose office runs SAFE's EUR 150 billion of loans and the European Defence Industry Programme. None of the three capitals has explained itself on the record. The immediate test is whether Kallas replaces the abandoned format with one the capitals are willing to own; neither Wigand's "new ways to engage" nor the governments that withheld support has identified a successor.

DIPRUC Witkoff and Kushner leave Moscow and Kyiv with a trilateral to schedule; Peskov gives no venue or date; the capitals-only pause ends tonight by Kyiv's wording

Al Jazeera 5 Sep · Kyiv Independent 5 Sep · Euronews 6 Sep · Kyiv Independent 6 Sep · Ukrinform 6 Sep · Kyiv Independent 6 Sep · TASS 7 Sep · Kyiv Independent 7 Sep · Ukrinform 7 Sep · Ukrinform 7 Sep · UA.News 7 Sep · Kyiv Independent 7 Sep · Kyiv Independent 7 Sep · Kyiv Independent 6 Sep · Kyiv Independent 7 Sep · TASS 6 Sep · Meduza 7 Sep · UA.News 6 Sep · Ukrinform 7 Sep · Kyiv Independent 6 Sep · Signal No. 131 · Signal No. 139

Witkoff and Kushner sat with Putin for over three hours on Saturday. Yuri Ushakov, Putin's aide, called the talks "substantive, very frank and constructive", and said the Americans "put forward a number of ideas on possible routes to a settlement"; the same readout recorded that "the Russian army's successes were noted; confidence was expressed that the set objectives would be achieved". Peskov, on Saturday: "The Russian president, the commander-in-chief, has given the order from midnight tonight not to strike Kyiv for three days." Zelenskyy: Ukraine is "ready to observe a halt in aerial strikes on the cities involved in the negotiating process", through Monday; the two formulations do not give one end time. Putin declined Kyiv's proposal of a wider truce along the front. On Sunday the envoys held three rounds in Kyiv, one with the national security advisers of Britain, France and Germany. Zelenskyy afterwards: "If the war continues — and we expect the war will continue — we are counting heavily on the winter aid package"; territorial questions "can only be resolved at the level of leaders"; US production of anti-ballistic interceptors rises "next year". Kushner said it would be productive to "go back to the trilateral format".

At Monday's briefing Peskov said: "We also do not rule out the resumption of this trilateral format", that "it is premature to speak about the venue and exact timing", and that a call between the presidents "may take place following the visit of the American negotiators". Asked whether the American proposals differ from those discussed at Anchorage: "No, I cannot tell you that." He called it "a small step towards peace". Witkoff wrote on X in the evening that "substantive progress was made, including movement on scheduling additional trilateral talks". Élysée sources told Ukrinform that "the groundwork for this process has been laid", linked any renewed Russian readiness to negotiate to the period after the State Duma elections, and said the E3 sat in "to demonstrate our commitment to ensuring that certain parameters of the negotiations are respected", naming territory, sanctions, reparations and security guarantees. A US official told the Kyiv Independent that Trump would call Putin first and Zelenskyy second, likely on Monday; neither call had been reported by 19:00 CEST. The Kyiv Independent, citing people familiar with the talks, reports that Putin rejected a truce covering energy infrastructure and repeated the demand for withdrawal from Donbas.

Russia paused strikes on Kyiv; Ukraine said it would refrain from striking Moscow through Monday; nothing else was covered. The Russian ministry's published list for Saturday night, 258 drones over fourteen regions, Crimea and two seas, did not include Moscow region, and it claimed 306 for Sunday night; Ukraine's General Staff and Zelenskyy claimed the Ryazan refinery on both nights, an airfield, a radar and two Pantsir systems in Rostov region, and on Monday Lukoil's Perm refinery and a plant in Tatarstan; Perm's governor reported one person killed. Over Ukraine the air force counted 108 drones and Banderol munitions on Saturday night with 88 downed, and 92 drones on Sunday night with 71 downed; the Orlivka crossing to Romania was hit a second time in a week. On Monday evening Kyiv's city military administration declared a drone alert as monitoring channels reported drones heading for the capital; a house and a car in Brovary district and a warehouse in Boryspil district were damaged, nothing in the city. Neither side has said what follows the pause.

Signal › Two weeks ago Washington obtained a three-day sanctuary for Moscow and St Petersburg on a day's notice, as No. 131 recorded; this weekend it obtained one for both capitals and nothing beyond them, while the refinery campaign ran on both nights and the E3 advisers sat in one of the Kyiv rounds. The concrete assurance Zelenskyy cited on interceptors was a US production increase next year, a week after Greece and Spain were reported to have kept their expiring rounds. The Élysée attached a date to Moscow's readiness, the Duma elections. Before then the visible step is a named trilateral venue; tonight it is whether Kyiv is struck once Ukraine's count of the pause runs out.

GRZDEZ Moscow orders the St Petersburg consulate-general closed by 18 September, Bonn's own date, and Goethe-Institut staff out by 13 September; Berlin calls it a regrettable mistake

Interfax 7 Sep · dpa via Pforzheimer Zeitung 7 Sep · Kyiv Independent 7 Sep · Kyiv Independent 6 Sep · Signal No. 136 · Signal No. 139

At 16:58 Moscow time the Russian foreign ministry said notes had been handed to Germany's chargé d'affaires: the consulate-general in St Petersburg "must cease its activity no later than 18 September 2026", with all staff to leave Russia by that date, and the Goethe-Institut's sites are to stop work at once, their seconded staff to leave by 13 September. The ministry called Berlin's closure of the Bonn consulate-general and the Russisches Haus "unfriendly actions" and wrote that "full responsibility for the consequences rests entirely with the government of the Federal Republic". A Foreign Office spokesperson in Berlin, via dpa: "This decision is a regrettable mistake that makes the way back to constructive relations even harder"; Germany had responded "in a determined but also measured way to hostile activities against our country". On Sunday Sergei Lavrov, interviewed by Pavel Zarubin, described the Leipzig case, in which Berlin named Russia on 1 September, as "the beginning of such a real war"; Interior Minister Alexander Dobrindt had said on 1 September that Germany is not at war but is a daily target of hybrid warfare.

The Goethe closure was announced by Lavrov on Thursday and Berlin said on Friday it saw "no further need to react", as No. 139 carried; the consulate is Monday's addition, and its date is the one Berlin set for Bonn.

Signal › Both consulates-general now close on the same day. Of the measures Foreign Minister Wadephul listed on 1 September, the further individual listings "in the context of hybrid attacks" were slated for the October package; the rollover ambassadors return to this week renews the existing 2,700 names, and which individuals Berlin tables for October under that heading is still not public.

GRZDEZ Grid sabotage, day seven: new launchers at Weisweiler on Monday afternoon, the A4 closed, twelve devices defused in Saxony, and the person sought still at large

dpa via ad-hoc-news 7 Sep · dpa via t-online 7 Sep · t-online Aachen 7 Sep · dpa via heise 7 Sep · ZDF 5 Sep · Berliner Zeitung 5 Sep · t-online 5 Sep · Signal No. 139

On Monday afternoon, after reports of "a suspicious person in the vicinity of the Weisweiler power plant" near Aachen, Cologne police found "several launch devices at a high-voltage line" by the plant and closed the A4 in both directions between Eschweiler-Ost and Langerwehe while the area was searched; the motorway reopened after 18:00. The police appeal asks: "Who made observations today that could be connected with the setting up of launch ramps?", and for wildlife-camera footage, through the state's tip portal. Weisweiler was searched on Friday after the confession letters named it; Monday's devices are a new placement, and police have not said whether they fired. In the night to Monday a hole was found in the fence of a substation in Kreis Wesel, traces secured, no further evidence; a spokesperson: "We are now sensitised with regard to such facilities and patrol there more." Sunday's search near Kerpen and the Hambach forest ended at about 19:00 without result.

On Saturday the Saxon state criminal office defused twelve home-made explosive devices found on Friday evening at lines south of the Bärwalde substation near Lippen and east of the Graustein substation near Schleife, in the Lusatian lignite field; no damage and no outage, and the Dresden prosecutor general is examining the link to Brandenburg and North Rhine-Westphalia. Brandenburg and North Rhine-Westphalia police published a joint wanted notice with two photographs of the 48-year-old from Gevelsberg the same day; a 60-strong investigation group is reading the documents seized from him for further sites, and police believe he may be moving by bicycle. Interior Minister Dobrindt's characterisation was probable "climate terrorism" by a lone actor; Herbert Reul: "No ideology serves as an excuse." The federal prosecutor general's examination of a takeover, reported on Thursday, had produced no announcement by Monday evening.

Signal › Devices were found on Monday at a site police had searched on Friday, while the person identified in the joint wanted appeal remains at large. Police have not said whether the Weisweiler devices match those found at Bergheim or Dormagen, and have not publicly established a forensic link between the devices, the letters and the person sought. The finds now span three states; Bergheim disrupted generation, while the twelve devices in Saxony were defused before detonation. A federal takeover has not been announced.

AIRDIN Airbus España: Cádiz, Tablada and Illescas vote to suspend the strike, San Pablo votes to continue

El Español 7 Sep · El Español 7 Sep · Signal No. 139

Assemblies at the five Spanish sites voted on Monday on whether to keep the indefinite strike called from 25 August, after Friday's preliminary agreement at the industry ministry that No. 139 itemised: real CPI plus 7.95 points over four years to 2029, telework kept, a binding referendum in September. Cádiz, Tablada and Illescas voted to suspend; San Pablo in Seville voted to continue; Getafe, with more than 8,000 of the 14,000 employees and the A330 MRTT conversion line, and Albacete had not reported by El Español's 17:08 update or by our deadline. Union sources told Europa Press that participation was below ten per cent of the workforce. UGT had been reported on Friday among the signatories; on Monday it issued a statement of "absolute rejection" of the "attempt at manipulation", said it "has signed no agreement or preliminary agreement whatsoever with the company", and keeps the 12 September demonstration in Madrid; CGT and ÚTIL, the two unions kept out of Friday's table, called it. The referendum date is not set.

Procurement · Industry · Capability

GRDARC Sweden authorises HIMARS procurement worth about SEK 7 billion, first deliveries 2027; Finnish artillery and Lockheed–Saab industrial declarations signed

The government authorised the purchase on Monday and announced it with Finland's Antti Häkkänen beside Pål Jonson: roughly SEK 7 billion, first launchers in 2027, financed from the armed forces' ordinary investment plan and an opportunity purchase. The government did not state a launcher quantity; SVT reports just over ten; the March US clearance covered up to twenty. Jonson and Häkkänen signed a declaration of intent on training, capability development, maintenance, supply security and joint munitions production, Finland running the M270 on the same rockets; Lockheed Martin and Saab signed one on exploring integration of Saab's 150-kilometre GLSDB and production of HIMARS and Patriot munitions in Sweden, though SVT names PrSM as the missile to be built and the government's release does not. Jonson: "The introduction of rocket artillery clearly shows that Sweden is taking its responsibility for security in Europe." In April the presidents of Estonia and Finland confirmed US delays to European HIMARS deliveries, as No. 48 carried, and No. 126 noted that Europe's M270 and HIMARS operators draw on one US production line whose allocation above current capacity is unaddressed.

Regeringen 7 Sep · SVT 7 Sep · Opex360 7 Sep · Signal No. 48 · Signal No. 126

DINIAMD Osnabrück: Rafael's April acquisition plan gives way to an Aurelius-led proposal with Lower Saxony as co-owner and Rafael as anchor project; 1,200 jobs against the 2,300 cited in April

On 30 April Rafael and Volkswagen signed a letter of intent for Rafael to acquire the Osnabrück plant, with a sixty-day exclusivity window, signing targeted for late June and a 2,300-job site, as No. 50 and the dispatch of that day carried; June passed without a signing. Monday's agreement in principle, per hartpunkt, points to a different owner: Volkswagen Osnabrück GmbH would go to Aurelius Capital, a Tel Aviv-based investor, as majority owner with the state of Lower Saxony as co-owner, and Rafael appears as the anchor project, supplying components and systems for its air-defence products, which press reports describe as vehicles, launcher units and generators for Iron Dome and not the Tamir interceptor, with Amarok conversions for Poland's WB Group reported to be under discussion. Vehicle production ends in summer 2027; more than 1,200 employees are offered a long-term perspective; final agreements, board approvals and regulatory review are still to come. Minister-President Olaf Lies said Germany and Europe "must strengthen capabilities and become more independent"; Rafael's chief executive Yoav Tourgeman said the technology "will be fully produced in Germany to protect Germany and Europe".

hartpunkt 7 Sep · Signal No. 50 · Großwald 30 Apr

SPCDEZ Isar Aerospace reaches orbit on Spectrum's second flight from Andøya on Saturday night; ESA's EUR 197.8 million contract of 28 August was conditional on this before 2028

Spectrum lifted off at 22:12 CEST on Saturday and deployed its payloads, satellites chosen through the German Space Agency's microlauncher competition and funded under ESA Boost, the company said; Daniel Metzler: "Launch continues to be the largest bottleneck for the global space industry and from today on, there is a true alternative for commercial and institutional customers." Vehicles three to seven are in production, a 40,000-square-metre plant is sized for up to forty a year, and a second pad is being built in Nova Scotia. No. 134 carried the European Launcher Challenge contracts eight days earlier, each conditional on an orbital flight before 2028, and noted that none of the three firms had flown one; Isar has now met the orbital milestone attached to its contract, eight days after signature. hartpunkt ties the flight to the Bundeswehr's responsive-space concept, under which the Schwert and Schild satellites are to launch on German rockets.

Isar Aerospace 5 Sep · hartpunkt 7 Sep · Signal No. 134

Forward Look

Tonight and Tuesday: whether either side treats the capitals-only pause as expired, and whether Kyiv is struck; the Trump calls to Putin and Zelenskyy that a US official placed on Monday; a trilateral venue and date, which Peskov called premature.

8–11 September, Berlin and Kielce: the Bundestag's first reading of the 2027 budget opens with Finance Minister Klingbeil on Tuesday; the defence estimate, EUR 139.6 billion in total, EUR 109.7 billion in the regular budget and EUR 29.9 billion from the special fund, is debated on Wednesday at 14:45. MSPO opens Tuesday; Croatia's Chunmoo contracts with Hanwha and WB Electronics, authorised on Friday and not yet signed; the Piorun executive contract is expected and not yet announced.

Wednesday 9 September, Brussels and Tallinn: ambassadors return to the twelve-month rollover of the individual listings, which lapse on 15 September and which Slovakia alone opposed last week; the Reform Party board discusses defence-minister candidates, with the party saying the name should be clear by next week, Herem having sent the party a six-month plan for the ministry without declaring himself; the Commission's three-day review of RKIK's due diligence is set for the end of September.

12–18 September: the Airbus unions' Madrid demonstration on Friday, with Getafe's assembly result and the referendum date before it; Goethe-Institut staff out of Russia by 13 September; the Riigikogu reconvenes on 14 September; Pistorius meets Hegseth on 15 September; Bonn and St Petersburg both close on 18 September, the day of the Pentagon's posture briefing with Colby.

Watch: whether Monday's Weisweiler launchers match the Bergheim and Dormagen devices, and whether the federal prosecutor general takes either grid case; what form Wigand's "new ways to engage" takes, and whether Rasmussen writes a report outside the EU frame; Zakharova's line on Monday that the sites of the US container launcher at Trondheim, deployed on 27 August for Atlantic City 26, become "objects of special attention" for Russia's strategic deterrence forces, and the launcher's departure date; the claim by Ukraine's military intelligence chief Oleh Ivashchenko on Monday that units of Russia's 101st Missile Brigade with the Oreshnik system are deployed in Belarus, unconfirmed by any other source; Italy's finding on the Minsk visa; and whether the Getafe assembly and then the referendum restart the MRTT line.

Großwald profile image
by Großwald

Subscribe to Großwald Signal.

Your daily briefing on procurement, force posture, industrial capacity and the alliance. Every weekday, 23:00 CET.

Success! Now Check Your Email

To complete Subscribe, click the confirmation link in your inbox. If it doesn’t arrive within 3 minutes, check your spam folder.

Ok, Thanks

Read More