Hensoldt Sets a EUR 10 Billion Revenue Goal for 2035 and Confirms EUR 6 Billion for 2030
London, 10 November 2026
Key points
- Hensoldt confirmed EUR 6 billion of revenue for 2030 at its London capital markets day on 10 November and set EUR 10 billion for 2035, against about EUR 2.8 billion guided for 2026
- It expects growth of 15 to 20 per cent a year in 2027 and 2028, more than 20 per cent towards the end of the decade, and an adjusted EBITDA margin of about 21 per cent by 2030
- TRML-4D radar capacity has risen fivefold in three years and is to double again in two; a new air-defence radar site starts series production in the second quarter of 2027
- The backlog was a record EUR 10.4 billion at 30 September; staff are to grow from about 10,600 to about 14,000 in 2029
Hensoldt has put a number on the 2030s, EUR 10 billion of revenue in 2035, and tied the near-term part of its plan to the radar it can now build fastest.
The release grounds the plan in NATO's 3.5 per cent core-defence commitment and the federal financial plan, more than EUR 180 billion for defence in 2030 against about EUR 108 billion this year. Growth areas named are air defence, follow-on orders, and new large programmes, particularly mission aircraft and next-generation platforms. Five days earlier Hensoldt had raised its 2026 guidance after nine-month orders rose 77 per cent.
The 2030 figure leans on capacity at its near end and on orders not yet placed at its far end. At 15 to 20 per cent a year, revenue reaches about EUR 3.7 to 4.0 billion in 2028, growth the disclosed radar capacity can plausibly carry; the TRML-4D is also the radar Hensoldt supplies to Ukraine's FREYJA programme. EUR 6 billion then needs about 22 to 27 per cent a year in 2029 and 2030, against about 14 per cent for the federal defence line the company cites; capacity keeps growing to 2029, but at that pace the backlog must be refilled by new large programmes. Oliver Dörre, the chief executive, said decisions on many of the programmes “that will shape our business in the 2030s will be taken soon”. The half-year dispatch read Hensoldt's guidance as a conversion limit, not a demand limit; Signal No. 186 set out the new targets. The 2035 figure needs only about 11 per cent a year after 2030, close to Hensoldt's market assumption: the headline number is the easier one, and 2030 is the one to hold the company to.
Related · Hensoldt's results and its TRML-4D radar