Bundeswehr Rates the Russian Sabotage Risk 'Considerable', Its Second-Highest Level, After Explosive Is Found Near Wunstorf

Bundeswehr Rates the Russian Sabotage Risk 'Considerable', Its Second-Highest Level, After Explosive Is Found Near Wunstorf

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by Großwald

Key points

  • An internal Bundeswehr security analysis, reported by WDR and the Süddeutsche Zeitung on 21 October, rates the threat of Russian sabotage against the armed forces as "considerable", the second-highest level on its scale; the Bundeswehr's Operational Command and the defence ministry confirmed the rating
  • The reassessment follows the drone found in mid-September about a kilometre from the Wunstorf air base, home of the Luftwaffe's A400M fleet; a can of high explosive lay a few metres away, and the Federal Criminal Police Office's analysis, as reported, puts the device there for about two years
  • The paper says Russia has crossed "a previously anticipated red line" by using drones as a kinetic weapon and that with Wunstorf the Bundeswehr "must very probably be assumed to be a direct target"; it expects "actions in the near future"
  • Protective measures at Bundeswehr sites are being strengthened; Russia denies any part in sabotage in Germany

The Bundeswehr now treats itself as a probable direct target of Russian sabotage in Germany, and has put a grade on the threat.

The analysis reads the two drones together. Like the one found at Leipzig/Halle airport in August, the Wunstorf drone had carried explosive; Leipzig, the paper says, "could still be assessed as an indirect threat to the Bundeswehr", Wunstorf could not. Until now the Bundeswehr's security staff had placed the higher risk at sites where Ukrainian soldiers train and at naval bases and shipyards; the paper says the risk can no longer be confined to particular places and, citing the intelligence services, expects "a short-term worsening of the situation". A spokesman for the Operational Command said: "Owing to the heightened threat situation, the Bundeswehr currently assumes a considerable risk of sabotage." The ministry told dpa that wider protection of sites was being examined.

The grade is the kind of figure the counter-intelligence service's report left out, and it reached the public through a leak. In September that service's annual report said the sabotage threat had "increased considerably" and gave no case count; a position on a scale can at least be compared over time, if it is published again. For Leipzig, Berlin named Russia on 1 September, four weeks after the find; for Wunstorf, found five weeks before the rating was reported, the government has named no one. The forensics were still incomplete on 22 September. The armed forces have reached an assessment about Wunstorf that the government has not stated.

Sources:WDR · Süddeutsche Zeitung · Bundeswehr · BMVg · dpa
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by Großwald

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